Just like the mayor, you left out half the equation. How many north/south cars will need to wait at the light, regardless of it's length.
By the way, Sceusi's stunt assumed a queue of north and south traffic. a mischaracterization that makes the volume of N/S traffic a more critical question. From personal experience I say there will be 0-2 cars at the light...which immediately cuts your wait time in half.
Wow. You guys have been busy the past couple days. Have been reading the mail getting caught up and there is a point that I dont think anyone has recently brought up regarding possible growth with CC.
Now they have a church that seats 1000 so they had to go to 5 services every Sunday. The Rev said he wanted to do the same with only one service in a new church that could seat 5000. Not possible, so he said OK, we can do it with 2 services that seat 2500 each. Now, Yes, he has said he would LIKE to keep it to 2 services, but does anyone think for a minute that he is going to refuse addnl growth to keep it at 2 services? No way. He can use the same facility for 3 Services for 7500, 4 for 10,000, or 5 for 12,500. He may not prefer to do 5 sermons per Sunday, but I will bet you any amount of $ that he will if he needs to. The same as he is doing now. So instead of reducing his Sunday workload, he goes back to the same number of performances per Sunday, but for far more people and thereby more $. Add one addnl service and the already stretched truth of the traffic studies goes out the window and the already ridiculous amount of traffic is stretched over more of our Sundays. Another 2 hrs, 4hrs or it becomes a nightmare ALL SUNDAY. Then dont forget, that will automatically increase the load on all the weekdays too with addnl attendance at their nightly events. NO THANKS. Changing the designations of rooms, or removing addnl seating does nothing to limit this monstrosity. Now if they agreed to cap attendance AND NUMBER OF SERVICES, then maybe he would stand a chance of BSing his way in. Of course then he would just fall back on RLUIPA in the future and insist that any limitation put on him at the time of moving in now infringes on his rights to practice and we would be SOL in a big way. Add to that the fact that these megas always grow, have to grow, and that anyone occupying that amount of real estate has to grow beyond 5k to pay the bills every month, you have a disaster in the making.
Chuck, you're should get your facts straight. The original sanctuary was around 3000 seats. Ireland testified that no church gets 100% attendence...and you should be more realistic in your use of growth rates...we went through all this yesterday
He testified that approximately 75% of his members attend.
He also testified that "many, many" of the attendees are NOT members. Keep in mind, it's a real hassle to become a member there; 3-month class plus a tithing program. Much easier just to attend.
Therefore, using the old 5,000 member figure, we wind up with 3,750 members plus "many, many" non-members.
Isnt that what I just said eagle$hit? 2500, 5000, 7500, 10,000, 12500. The size of the sanctuary=attendance x number of services = a bunch of traffic we dont want in RT.
Afraid I have to agree with everyone else here. YOU ARE AN A$$WIPE.
Your colorful language aside, what groth rate are you using and where'd you get it? See that's alarmist.
Ireland has testified that he can't do more than three services. Those are the facts but you jumping to the conclusion that he'll hold many services. You see Chuck, that's alarmist
Yep. The fact is that he does 5 services every Sunday now, so whats to stop him from doing it again if he wants to. Answer, absolutely nothing. After all, he is the only one with the "Gift". Those are the facts. The statement that he would prefer not to, doesnt mean squat. He will do anything for $ and to further his personal agenda.
You gotta stick to the facts. Ireland testified that he could not do more than two.
You also need to stop dealing with Montclair, the hearings are about RT. Lisa used a phrase in her first or second letter to the editor perhaps you should pay heed to it...."that was a different time and place".
Hmm let's see eaglemig has stated in 2 different posts:
"Ireland has testified that he can't do more than three services.
Ireland testified that he could not do more than two."
Well which is it? Why can't anyone who supports cc get anything straight?
As far as traffic on Sundays, please do not give us your "facts". You do not use GPR to get to and from your home. You use it once a week. I have traveled GPR at different times on Sundays, starting at 10AM. There's an average of 60 cars whatever time I go. That's 600 cars per hour. Adding cc, the wait at the light will be more than 1 or 2. Who do you think you're fooling? Let's not even talk about traffic leaving cc. The rev does not care about his congregation as they will endure traffic jams all the way to RT 80 or 287 going down Meridan and Diamond Spring. There's no way anyone can say there won't be traffic, and MUCH traffic.
Perhaps you're right Thinker. My mistake proves that Ireland will hold 10 services, attended by 2000 followers to accomodate the 20,00o predicted by Chuck...Good catch there Thinker, ya got me (heavy sarcasm).
As far as the traffic goes, use the reports don't make up alarmist comments. You mis qoute Ireland to alarm people and ignore facts so that you can make up comments to alarm people. Stop the nonsense, deal with facts
Eaglemig "As far as the traffic goes, use the reports don't make up alarmist comments. You mis qoute Ireland to alarm people and ignore facts so that you can make up comments to alarm people. Stop the nonsense, deal with facts"
The reports HA. Do you know when the traffic study was done? I do. And it wasn't in the summer. Of course traffic will be down in the fall and winter. But you have to realize GPR is heavily traveled in the spring and summer. My figures are correct for the months of June and July as I have counted everytime I travel GPR on Sundays.
Also I didn't misquote ireland. I had no quotes from Ireland but just those from you, who misquoted ireland. You are the best example of ignoring facts.
The only traffic reports in evidence are those of the church traffic expert. The very same expert that RT relied on for many, many projects...if fact, the experts firm is a contributor to the past mayor's campaign fund and more than likely Sceusi's. If anything, the numbers are skewed in favor of the town but I think they're pretty accurate.
Your so called stats have no status in this discussion .
WTF ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT?!?!?!?!?!?!?! You are a rolling crock of SH*T!!!!!!!!! You don't know DICK about who contributes to whom, or its relevence here. Besides the fact that this is CCs expert- Not RTs!
CCs own paid expert testified that traffic would DEGRADE with CC there, by as much as 400%!!! Thats what he told the PB, that's what we all heard. THAT'S ALL YOU KNOW EITHER!!
This ain't NJ.CON a$$wipe....you're BS don't fly here.
in fact WHY THE F^CK ARE YOU STILL EVEN POSTING HERE!!!!!!!!!!!
Yep, I think we will have to start treating him with the same non-acknowledgement as the other trolls. He talks about sticking to facts and not making alarmist statements. LOL. When did I in any post predict 20,000 people? I simply made the point that even though the great Rev said he didnt want to do more than 2 or 3 (or whatever) number, he could easily accomodate 12,500 and not do any more work then he is doing now in Montclair. I kind of think he would find the divine strength to do the extra 2 or 3 performances if it meant more $ for his vision. And this would be conceivable with the presently proposed size and occupancy cap, just more services. Just add one more and it throws ANY accuracy of existing traffic survey out the window and extends our traffic nightmare for another couple hours each and every Sunday as well as increasing the load during the week day events.
Of course, traffic predictions by traffic experts are based on assumptions GIVEN to him by the people paying his salary (ireland in this case). Assumptions of when people will come, how many will come, how long they will stay, where they will be coming from, etc...
If the public gets to ask questions of him (traffic guy) at the next pb meeting (sorry, can't make it to this one - vacation looms), I hope someone asks him again exactly how many cars he expects to be heading to 140 GPR from Sanders Rd (I believe it was somewhere near 15% - testimony was months ago and I didn't write it down) and if a survey was taken of WML residents askings them if they'd attend cc @ 140 GPR (who else would come from Sanders other than WML residents?). He also had a good chunk of people coming from the north via GPR and some from Meriden. How were these numbers derived at? Mathematical traffic formulae or via ireland telling him where his faithful will come from?
Automobiles coming from GPR North and Sanders Rd (on paper) is traffic not counted at route 80 / Morris Ave where the worst traffic will be. Was there a realization that the traffic would just not work at this intersection if everyone came from route 80, so the start location of the drivers could NOT be somewhere that puts them on route 80 (again, on paper)? No accusations (yet), but PLEASE someone think about questioning the expert along this line. Ask him if he's calculated what the traffic statistics would be, but with the assumption that none or very few (other than tED?) will come from Sanders and a smaller percentage coming from the north (ie, start 90-95% of the autos along route 80 - a much more reasonable assumption, IMHO).
You lost it in the 2nd paragraph. The traffic comming from Sanders rd is 15%? 15% of what?
Secondly, a professional traffic engineer will not accept assumptions from the organization that hires him(her)...or maybe your right and the the prior studies done for RT by the same firm accepted bad information which caused the past failures Mort Dicker refered to last meeting
sorry if you got yourself lost in the second paragraph.
The number was something like 15% of the people heading towards cc would be coming from Sanders Rd. Perhaps someone else can help with the exact number.
...and if you believe that traffic planners take no information from the people who hire them, you are gravely mistaken. How else can an expert "plan" for traffic if he doesn't know what the driving force of that traffic will be? Perhaps he just pulls the numbers out of his ass?
Tell us how else would a traffic expert know how many people to plan for if he refused to use information given to him by the organization that hired him!
15%, 15%...15% of HOW MANY CARS! Your stats don't make sense, thats all I'm saying. They lose a lot of credibility because there's no context and there is no reference that anyone can check.
My point was that the traffic planners use raw data, not assumptions in developing their reports. Now, if you dont agree with his conclusions, what data do you think planners should draw from? Your off the cuff info or church census data plus prior reports used for PB decisions?
I believe that would be 15% of the 1,000 cars that the CC expert said would be traveling toward the site for services. Approximately 150 cars coming down Sanders. A number that is sure to grow once people figure out they can get off 80 at the mall exit and cut through WML without having to use the GPR exit. Now you also need to take into consideration that the traffic expert wants to change all the lights so that the waits on Morris and Sanders will be longer. Not pretty.
And yes ... people do cut through WML to avoid congestion on 80. I used to do it myself when I commuted from the west.
Great eagle - your point is that traffic planners use raw data.
...and of course, a good chunk of the raw data comes right from ireland.
The 15% number was 15% of the total number of cars heading towards 140GPR. Not a difficult concept to understand. Perhaps you are the gadfly and enjoy being contrarian. Don't like the TRUTH - then don't accept it and attack it.
Hey eAGLEdroppings....did the words :"Hmmm, you may have a valid point there, you may be right" ever pass your lips??????Ever???? About anything???? Do you ever compliment anyone other than yourself?????
The discussion was about traffic from WML proceeding north on GPR and would be affected by church traffic. It was proclaimed that the # is 15%...I'm just trying to determine 15% of what.
What does you 1000 cars stat mean? !000 cars from WML? There are only 2400 houses in WML. even 15% of 1000 is a high so I'm not sure what you're refering to.